Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 3877.798339 4143.464179 4408.840219 4693.491880 4989.845629 5288.974519 5613.399425
2025-10-12 3477.967758 3885.380703 4303.703317 4764.132783 5255.487580 5763.006974 6325.690295
2025-10-19 3185.464296 3679.887796 4198.035739 4779.099087 5410.140445 6072.434056 6817.766508
2025-10-26 2956.503052 3515.338752 4111.274273 4790.087719 5537.953413 6333.042592 7238.517747
2025-11-02 2783.420675 3395.615202 4058.551500 4823.981428 5677.690602 6595.226151 7650.541739
2025-11-09 2596.947438 3247.752638 3962.945962 4799.340241 5742.927393 6767.258436 7956.075482
2025-11-16 2462.877300 3150.500872 3916.265439 4822.061703 5854.280811 6984.631129 8306.730429
2025-11-23 2307.827374 3020.532477 3824.901481 4787.174226 5894.627241 7117.663569 8558.917045
2025-11-30 2228.626932 2974.593905 3826.111934 4854.498400 6047.782471 7374.815901 8948.212066
2025-12-07 2124.105112 2893.247811 3781.536747 4864.739553 6132.060561 7551.276718 9244.216560
2025-12-14 2009.908205 2795.104008 3712.745345 4842.632320 6175.473457 7678.340886 9481.751633
2025-12-21 1880.344910 2672.834261 3610.574451 4776.850328 6164.253825 7739.604087 9641.378156
2025-12-28 1878.623846 2710.232962 3702.509739 4944.877255 6431.036593 8126.259432 10180.767705
2026-01-04 1829.553972 2686.186525 3718.426124 5020.947690 6589.146141 8387.415187 10576.620755
2026-01-11 1753.729583 2624.942184 3686.072704 5036.374509 6673.370365 8561.105753 10870.182371
2026-01-18 1680.843878 2564.471763 3652.181678 5047.745731 6750.984047 8725.764116 11152.342423
2026-01-25 1623.721605 2522.120716 3638.962772 5082.813911 6855.811434 8921.605166 11470.497108
2026-02-01 1542.028934 2444.345562 3578.561899 5057.319141 6885.519347 9027.172570 11681.591396
2026-02-08 1486.951497 2399.899284 3558.753929 5080.827741 6973.659446 9201.371870 11973.136041
2026-02-15 1408.878653 2321.553773 3493.087382 5044.731119 6987.109517 9285.055806 12156.508434
2026-02-22 1379.975512 2309.182425 3511.806761 5114.385884 7130.152724 9523.889142 12524.279629
2026-03-01 1328.065525 2263.096402 3485.034196 5124.980560 7199.216923 9673.063736 12784.867320
2026-03-08 1265.207002 2199.458050 3433.342312 5102.109860 7225.396505 9769.462543 12981.660540